Home > Society & social sciences > Sociology & anthropology > Sociology > Transparency in Population Forecasting: Methods for Fitting and Projecting Fertility, Mortality and Migration
Transparency in Population Forecasting: Methods for Fitting and Projecting Fertility, Mortality and Migration

Transparency in Population Forecasting: Methods for Fitting and Projecting Fertility, Mortality and Migration

          
5
4
3
2
1

Out of Stock


Premium quality
Premium quality
Bookswagon upholds the quality by delivering untarnished books. Quality, services and satisfaction are everything for us!
Easy Return
Easy return
Not satisfied with this product! Keep it in original condition and packaging to avail easy return policy.
Certified product
Certified product
First impression is the last impression! Address the book’s certification page, ISBN, publisher’s name, copyright page and print quality.
Secure Checkout
Secure checkout
Security at its finest! Login, browse, purchase and pay, every step is safe and secured.
Money back guarantee
Money-back guarantee:
It’s all about customers! For any kind of bad experience with the product, get your actual amount back after returning the product.
On time delivery
On-time delivery
At your doorstep on time! Get this book delivered without any delay.
Notify me when this book is in stock
Add to Wishlist

About the Book

At the moment that a population forecast for the long run is published the user cannot decide whether the forecast will be accurate. The user can only judge the methods used and assumptions made by the forecaster. This requires transparency of forecasts. The forecaster should make his or her choices of methods and assumptions and the arguments behind these choices explicit. Population projections are based on assumptions about future changes in fertility, mortality and migration. This book describes methods that can be used for making these assumptions and discusses which choices have to be made by the forecaster.
Forecasts should be based on good data. Data on international migration tend to be less reliable than data on fertility and mortality. Statistics on international migration can be improved on the basis of a comparison of data from different countries. If emigration statistics of a sending country are compared with the corresponding immigration statistics of receiving countries, one can estimate to what extent emigration statistics may underestimate the true migration flows. Different types of migrants, such as labour migrants, family migrants and asylum seekers, react differently to economic, political and cultural developments. Therefore for making assumptions about future Changes in migration it is useful to distinguish immigration and emigration by type of migrant.
For making assumptions about future changes in fertility it is useful to compare the current pattern of fertility in different countries with that in one 'forerunner' country. In many countries the average age at childbearing can be expected to increase, but it will make a difference whether this is caused by a decrease in the fertility of very young women, an increase in fertility around the 'peak' age 30, or an increase in fertility of women around age 40. Therefore the forecaster should make assumptions about separate age-specific fertility rates rather than about the total fertility rate and mean age at childbearing only.
Japanese women have the highest life expectancy in the world. A linear projection shows that life expectancy of Japanese women may increase to 100 years over the next 50 years. For each European country we can estimate to what extent death probabilities will move in the direction of the low Japanese levels. Estimating an average trend across European countries provides a more stable projection than estimating a trend for each country separately. For Northern, Western and Southern European countries life expectancy of women may be expected to increase to around 90 years in 2060.


Best Sellers



Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9789069846378
  • Publisher: Amsterdam University Press
  • Publisher Imprint: Amsterdam University Press
  • Depth: 19
  • Language: English
  • Returnable: Y
  • Spine Width: 15 mm
  • Weight: 341 gr
  • ISBN-10: 9069846373
  • Publisher Date: 09 Jan 2012
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Height: 226 mm
  • No of Pages: 252
  • Series Title: Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute Books
  • Sub Title: Methods for Fitting and Projecting Fertility, Mortality and Migration
  • Width: 147 mm


Similar Products

How would you rate your experience shopping for books on Bookswagon?

Add Photo
Add Photo

Customer Reviews

REVIEWS           
Click Here To Be The First to Review this Product
Transparency in Population Forecasting: Methods for Fitting and Projecting Fertility, Mortality and Migration
Amsterdam University Press -
Transparency in Population Forecasting: Methods for Fitting and Projecting Fertility, Mortality and Migration
Writing guidlines
We want to publish your review, so please:
  • keep your review on the product. Review's that defame author's character will be rejected.
  • Keep your review focused on the product.
  • Avoid writing about customer service. contact us instead if you have issue requiring immediate attention.
  • Refrain from mentioning competitors or the specific price you paid for the product.
  • Do not include any personally identifiable information, such as full names.

Transparency in Population Forecasting: Methods for Fitting and Projecting Fertility, Mortality and Migration

Required fields are marked with *

Review Title*
Review
    Add Photo Add up to 6 photos
    Would you recommend this product to a friend?
    Tag this Book
    Read more
    Does your review contain spoilers?
    What type of reader best describes you?
    I agree to the terms & conditions
    You may receive emails regarding this submission. Any emails will include the ability to opt-out of future communications.

    CUSTOMER RATINGS AND REVIEWS AND QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS TERMS OF USE

    These Terms of Use govern your conduct associated with the Customer Ratings and Reviews and/or Questions and Answers service offered by Bookswagon (the "CRR Service").


    By submitting any content to Bookswagon, you guarantee that:
    • You are the sole author and owner of the intellectual property rights in the content;
    • All "moral rights" that you may have in such content have been voluntarily waived by you;
    • All content that you post is accurate;
    • You are at least 13 years old;
    • Use of the content you supply does not violate these Terms of Use and will not cause injury to any person or entity.
    You further agree that you may not submit any content:
    • That is known by you to be false, inaccurate or misleading;
    • That infringes any third party's copyright, patent, trademark, trade secret or other proprietary rights or rights of publicity or privacy;
    • That violates any law, statute, ordinance or regulation (including, but not limited to, those governing, consumer protection, unfair competition, anti-discrimination or false advertising);
    • That is, or may reasonably be considered to be, defamatory, libelous, hateful, racially or religiously biased or offensive, unlawfully threatening or unlawfully harassing to any individual, partnership or corporation;
    • For which you were compensated or granted any consideration by any unapproved third party;
    • That includes any information that references other websites, addresses, email addresses, contact information or phone numbers;
    • That contains any computer viruses, worms or other potentially damaging computer programs or files.
    You agree to indemnify and hold Bookswagon (and its officers, directors, agents, subsidiaries, joint ventures, employees and third-party service providers, including but not limited to Bazaarvoice, Inc.), harmless from all claims, demands, and damages (actual and consequential) of every kind and nature, known and unknown including reasonable attorneys' fees, arising out of a breach of your representations and warranties set forth above, or your violation of any law or the rights of a third party.


    For any content that you submit, you grant Bookswagon a perpetual, irrevocable, royalty-free, transferable right and license to use, copy, modify, delete in its entirety, adapt, publish, translate, create derivative works from and/or sell, transfer, and/or distribute such content and/or incorporate such content into any form, medium or technology throughout the world without compensation to you. Additionally,  Bookswagon may transfer or share any personal information that you submit with its third-party service providers, including but not limited to Bazaarvoice, Inc. in accordance with  Privacy Policy


    All content that you submit may be used at Bookswagon's sole discretion. Bookswagon reserves the right to change, condense, withhold publication, remove or delete any content on Bookswagon's website that Bookswagon deems, in its sole discretion, to violate the content guidelines or any other provision of these Terms of Use.  Bookswagon does not guarantee that you will have any recourse through Bookswagon to edit or delete any content you have submitted. Ratings and written comments are generally posted within two to four business days. However, Bookswagon reserves the right to remove or to refuse to post any submission to the extent authorized by law. You acknowledge that you, not Bookswagon, are responsible for the contents of your submission. None of the content that you submit shall be subject to any obligation of confidence on the part of Bookswagon, its agents, subsidiaries, affiliates, partners or third party service providers (including but not limited to Bazaarvoice, Inc.)and their respective directors, officers and employees.

    Accept

    New Arrivals



    Inspired by your browsing history


    Your review has been submitted!

    You've already reviewed this product!