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Problem des wachsenden chinesischen Ölbedarfs für die Außenwirtschafts- und Geopolitik

Problem des wachsenden chinesischen Ölbedarfs für die Außenwirtschafts- und Geopolitik

          
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About the Book

Inhaltsangabe: Einleitung: Im Sommer 2005 durchbrach der Ölpreis die Marke von 65 USD/Barrel Rohöl; das Fernsehen, Radio und Zeitungen waren geprägt von Berichten, Analysen und Prognosen über die steigenden Ölpreise. Nach wenigen Tagen schien für die Experten die Antwort gefunden: Die Schwellenländer Ost- und Südasiens, insbesondere Indien und China wurden für diesen Preisschub verantwortlich gemacht. Nachdem man jahrelang nur das wachsende chinesische BIP vor Augen hatte, schien diese Erklärung auch nahe zu liegen, doch übersahen viele Kommentatoren Faktoren wie Spekulationen am Kapitalmarkt, ein Nachlassen der Produktion oder versuchte Preispolitik durch die OPEC. Tatsächlich betrug der chinesische Ölverbrauch, für 1,4 Mrd. Menschen, 2003 gerade einmal 7,6% des weltweiten Konsums (Indien 3,1%); während Japan mit 110 Millionen Einwohnern 6,8% und die USA mit 260 Millionen 25,1% bestritten. Das Entscheidende dabei ist jedoch, dass der chinesische Rohölkonsum innerhalb eines Jahres um 11,5% gestiegen war und trotz einer leichten Abkühlung des chinesischen Wirtschaftswachstums, nicht mit einem starken Nachlassen des Erdölbedarfs zu rechnen ist. Dieser ganze Prozess, mit seinen weltweiten Auswirkungen, ist nur eines - wenn auch ein sehr deutliches Symptom - dass sich die Machtverteilung auf der Erde in einer Umbruchsphase befindet. Mit der Rückkehr des bevölkerungsreichsten Landes in die Weltpolitik und Weltwirtschaft vollzieht sich ein Umbruch, welcher in seiner Tiefe und seiner Entwicklung die Rahmenbedingungen für die nächsten 100 Jahre vorgeben kann. Da der Wiederaufstieg Chinas ohne eine starke Wirtschaft undenkbar ist und eine moderne Wirtschaft auch heute noch von einem starken Ölkonsum gekennzeichnet ist, wird die Beschaffung und Sicherung dieser Ressource für das Reich der Mitte von entscheidender Bedeutung sein. Da andererseits die Ölvorkommen unter den Großmächten (und den ihnen nahe stehenden Konzernen) schon aufgeteilt sind, ist China durch seine


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9783838695617
  • Publisher: Diplom.de
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Language: German
  • Returnable: N
  • Spine Width: 7 mm
  • Width: 148 mm
  • ISBN-10: 3838695615
  • Publisher Date: 04 May 2006
  • Height: 210 mm
  • No of Pages: 124
  • Series Title: German
  • Weight: 172 gr


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