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Politische Frühwarnsysteme im Vergleich

Politische Frühwarnsysteme im Vergleich

          
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About the Book

Essay aus dem Jahr 2008 im Fachbereich Politik - Internationale Politik - Thema: Frieden und Konflikte, Sicherheit, Universität Basel (Europainstitut Basel, Fachbereich Politologie), Veranstaltung: Vorlesung: InternationaleKonflikteundGlobalisierung, 8 Quellen im Literaturverzeichnis, Sprache: Deutsch, Abstract: In diesem Essay nehme ich aber nur auf die politischen Frühwarnsysteme (FWS) Bezug: Die FWS dienen der Identifizierung von Konfliktursachen, der Voraussage von Konfliktausbrüchen und der Konfliktminderung. Das geschieht auf der Grundlage eines systematischen Sammelns von Daten, der Analyse und/oder der Ausarbeitung von Empfehlungen, der Risikobewertung und der Informationsweiterleitung an relevante Akteure. Die Datenerhebung und ‐ausarbeitung erfolgt entweder durch qualitative oder quantitative Methoden oder auch durch eine Kombination von beidem (Austin 2004; Matthies 2000). Die qualitativen FWS setzen auf Analysten und spezielle Gesandte, die eine betreffende Region überwachen und dort weitere Untersuchungen durchführen. Die gesammelten Daten werden dann in Form von konkreten Empfehlungen aufbereitet und an wichtige Entscheidungsträger übermittelt. Bekannte Beispiele für qualitativ arbeitende FWS sind Amnesty International (AI), die International Crisis Group (ICG) und Human Rights Watch. Die quantitativen FWS setzen hingegen auf die Quantifizierung und der anschliessenden maschinellen Auswertung von Eventdaten. Unter Event‐Daten sind hier einzelne, isolierte Ereignisse zu verstehen, die als potentieller Teil einer Kausalkette zu einem Gewaltausbruch oder zu dessen Beilegung führen können. Die einzelnen FWS dieser Kategorie arbeiten je nach Fragestellung und Zielsetzung mit un‐terschiedlichen Auswertungsmodellen (z.B. Beschleunigungs‐ und Schwellenwertmodelle etc.). Als quantitative FWS können hier zum Beispiel Minorities at Risk (MAR), das State Fai‐lure Project und das Conflict Early Warning Project (CEWP) genannt werden. Schliesslich gibt es noch FWS,
About the Author: Marc Bonenberger is a public health expert at the Swiss Centre for International Health, Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland. His current work focuses on research in the area of human resource development, specifically on attrition and retention of health workers in resource-poor settings. He is experienced in both quantitative and qualitative research methods. Academically he is equipped with a PhD in Epidemiology and a Master in African Studies, both from the University of Basel.


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9783656858225
  • Publisher: Grin Verlag
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Language: German
  • Returnable: N
  • Spine Width: 1 mm
  • Width: 178 mm
  • ISBN-10: 3656858225
  • Publisher Date: 02 Jun 2015
  • Height: 254 mm
  • No of Pages: 16
  • Series Title: German
  • Weight: 59 gr


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