Excerpt from Foreign Crops and Markets, Vol. 40: January 27, 1940

The third estimate of the 1939 wheat crop in Canada is now placed at bushels by the Dominion Bureau of Statistics. This figure represents an upward revision of about 11 million bushels from the second estimate issued last November, and results largely from an increase in the estimate for Saskatchewan. The 1939 wheat crop is around 130 million bushels above the 1938 harvest of bushels and is the second largest wheat erop so far produced in Canada. An upward revision of 10 mil lion bushels has also been made for the 1938 crop, which in turn increases the 1939 carry-over, and, together with the larger 1939 crop estimate, indicates an extra 20 million bushels in the exportable surplus for 1939-40.

Other crop revisions at this time were not very large. The third estimate of the 1939 cat crop in Canada is placed at bushels, a decrease of bushels from the November estimate. Barley pro duction at bushels is practically unchanged from the second estimate and is not greatly different from the 1938 outturn. The 1939 rye crop at bushels is over 4 million bushels larger than the 1938 harvest, due to an increase in acreage. Flaxseed production at bushels shows a substantial increase over the 1938 crop of bushels For a table of the third Canadian grain estimates with comparisons, see page 101.

In reviewing 1939 erop developments, the Dominion Bureau of Statis tics points out that the season was relatively favorable throughout Canada with no major areas experiencing partial crop failure as in recent years. The outstanding feature of the season, of course, was the production of a bumper wheat crop in the Prairie Provinces, with wheat yields better than in any year since 1928. The extreme heat in the Prairie Provinces in late July affected the yields of coarse grains, so that the latter did not share with wheat an improvement in yields per acre. Increased sowings of rye and flaxseed resulted in a larger production of these two crops.

From the total crop in the Prairie Provinces, estimated at 463 million bushels, farm deliveries of wheat between August 1 and January 5 amounted to million bushels. This is the heaviest primary movement of wheat since the 1928 - 29 season. It is estimated by the Dominion officials that an additional 50 - 55 million bushels are likely to be de livered before the end of July, and the total marketings from the 1939 crop will approximate 414 - 419 million bushels. On this basis, 87 percent of this year's marketable wheat has already been delivered, compared with 88 percent at the same date in the 1938-39 season, and 80 percent at the same date in 1937 - 38.

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