Excerpt from Foreign Agricultural Circular, 1981: Nos. 29 to 46

Fg-29-81had held off for 10 days. The continuation of hot, dry weather in July had a deleterious effect on European USSR crop yields, especially for late - ripening spring grains such as corn and millet. In Kazakhstan and other grain-producing regions east of the Ural Mountains, 3011 moisture levels were generally average or above during July, except for some areas in eastern Kazakhstan and western Siberia.

The impact of adverse weather on potential output Will be reflected primarily in the Russian Soviet Federated Socialist Republic (rsfsr) 3/ where approximately 60 percent of the country's grain crops are sown. Reports from this region now frequently mention poor crop conditions as a result of drought. It is currently estimated that 1981 grain production for the rsfsr will total approximately 98 million tons, 6 million tons above the drought-ravaged 1979 crop, but well below the 11 million-ton average of the last five years. This year's projected poor grain crop in the rsfsr is the result Of hot. Dry conditions, whereas the disappointing 1980 crop was largely blamed on excessive precipitation and cool temperatures.

Grain production for the Ukraine in 1981 is estimated at about 0 million tons, exceeding both the drought - reduced 1979 harvest of 34 million and the 1980 crop of 38 million which was adversely affected by cool, wet weather. Although the Ukraine only accounts for about 13 percent of total grain area, the republic remains an important producing region (approximately 20 percent of total output), as its soils tend to be more fertile and crop yields higher.

For Kazakhstan-the last of the three principal grain-producing regions - projected 1981 grain output is now set at approximately 27 million tons, about equal to the average of the last 5 years. Although only sketchy field and press reports are available on crop conditions in Kazakhstan, it now appears that above-normal soll moisture levels in western parts of the republic could result in bumper crops, while yields in some eastern regions will likely be down sharply following prolonged periods of drought.

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