Excerpt from The Expansion of Egypt Under Anglo-Egyptian Condominium

Every factor of importance, every event of significance, and every document of consequence should be presented, and their bearing on the question at issue defined, in order to arrive at a true perception of the International Situation in Egypt. This evidence I have endeavoured to produce, in its entirety. Detailed deductions may, of course, in consequence of the complexity of the case, be open to adverse criticism but accomplished facts speak for themselves, and confirm in a remarkable degree the verdict of History. Egypt must necessarily fall under the exclusive control of maritime primacy.

The heads of my argument are given in the annexed Table (no. I), in a natural sequence of cause and effect. The divisions of my subject and the order of their presenta tion conform, in principle, to this arrangement of the material. Details are to some extent relegated to foot-notes.

From an examination of physical factors (part I) I derive the organic unity of the Nile Valley. In Parts II to IV, inclusive, I produce the internal and external factors which, in their cumulative effect, point to its political unity under the Power holding the Command of the Sea and already exercising a de facto Protectorate. The Political Situation in Egypt (part V) demonstrates the instability of Egyptian institutions and an elaborate Survey of the anglo-egyptian Administration (part VI), dealing with all the Departments of State, illustrates the extent to which these depend on British Control and initiative. International Interests are shown to predominate and centre in the Suez Canal (part VII). And in Part VIII, I have sought the most natural solution of the Egyptian Problem. That the solution which I advocate is inevitable, may be gathered from the concluding Parts of my work (ix and X). In or before the year 1905, a British Protectorate, or its equivalent, must, in my Opinion, be proclaimed throughout the Valley of the Nile.

During the two Winters (1896-1898) which I spent in Egypt, much of my time was occupied in examining the political situation, with which I was well acquainted in theory, and in collecting material for my work. The plan of this book was laid down in 1897 and from that I have not found it necessary to diverge. Personal reasons pre cluded an earlier issue: but the delay has had its ad vantages. I arn now in a position to affirm what, two years ago, I ventured merely to predict. The reconquest of the Sudan and the establishment of an anglo-egyptian Condominium, being accomplished facts, have made all the difference in political speculations.

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