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Entscheidungen Bei Unvollständiger Information

Entscheidungen Bei Unvollständiger Information

          
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About the Book

Wir legen biermit eine Arbeit vor, welcbe Untersucbungen zusammenftibrt, die uns seit mebreren Jabren bescbaftigen. Zunacbst baben wir getrennt voneinander, in den .beiden letzt n Jabren in wacbsendem MaBe gemeinsam an der Tbeorie der Entscbeidungen bei unvollstandiger Information ge- arbeitet. Das Motiv, das jeden von uns von Anfang an bewegte, war die Einsicbt, daB die berkommlicben Entscbeidungs- modelle zu unrealistiscb und daber ftir die praktiscbe An- wendung ungeeignet, insbesondere zu starr sind. Dies gilt ftir die deterministiscben Entscbeidungsmodelle eben- so wie fur die sog. Bernoullimodelle oder die Modelle der Risikosituation, bei denen die Verteilung tiber deB Zustanden als exakt bekannt vorausgesetzt ist. Was der Praktiker, der Statistiker ebenso wie der be- triebs- oder volkswirtscbaftlicbe Planer nd Entscbeider, in der Hand bat, sind in der Regel unvollstandige 1n- formationen tiber seine Umwelt und tiber seine Entscbeidungs- konsequenzen. Auf dieser unzulanglicben Basis muB er Entscbeidungen treffen, und diese Entscbeidungen sollen gleicbwobl "moglicbst rational" seine Diesem Zweck, rationale Entscheidungsfindung bei un- zulanglicber Information, dient unsere Tbeorie, die durcbgangig als angewandte konzipiert ist. Diesem Zweck ordnen sicb alle Uberlegungen und Tbeoreme unter, d.b. alle Begriffe und Tbeoreme sind nicbt wegen ibres matbema- tiscben Gebalts oder aus anderen rein tbeoretiscben GrUn- den in das Bucb aufgenommen worden, sondern nur desbalb, weil wir tiberzeugt sind, daB sie die Entscbeidungstbeorie anwendungsfabiger macben.


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Product Details
  • ISBN-13: 9783540079934
  • Publisher: Springer
  • Publisher Imprint: Springer
  • Height: 244 mm
  • No of Pages: 361
  • Series Title: Lecture Notes in Economic and Mathematical Systems
  • Weight: 599 gr
  • ISBN-10: 3540079939
  • Publisher Date: 01 Nov 1976
  • Binding: Paperback
  • Language: German
  • Returnable: Y
  • Spine Width: 20 mm
  • Width: 170 mm

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